Independiente vs Nacional Potosí prediction 28.05.2025 | Copa Sudamericana

• Competition: Copa Sudamericana
• Date: Wednesday, 28th May, 2025
• Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
• Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

On the night between Wednesday and Thursday Independiente and Nacional Potosi will face off in the last round of the Copa Sudamericana Group stage. The game will take place at Estadio Libertadores de América in Avellaneda.

Independiente are coming to this important match after losing to Huracan in the Semi-Finals of Torneo Betao. It was a close match where Independiente probably deserved a trip to the finals but eventually lost after a penalty shootout. Now, they will have another crucial game where a defeat could mean elimination from the continental tournament. Right now, they are in 1st place with nine points from five matches - but just one point away from 2nd-placed Guarani and two away from 3rd-placed Nacional Potosi.

Nacional Potosi's results have constantly declined in recent years. This year, they had a really bad start in the domestic competitions as they are sitting in 10th place in the Division Profesional with only eight points in seven rounds. They also struggled in the Copa Pacena and were on the brink of elimination from Copa Sudamericana. Still, their performance in the Copa Sudamericana wasn't bad as they are only one point away from second place and the 1/16 Finals and two points away from the top spot and the 1/8 Finals. Unfortunately, they are a massive underdog in this match, and the bookies do not believe they can secure the knockout phase.

Independiente vs Nacional Potosi pick: Independiente to win and cover the -2 AH spread

Independiente are in good form, winning four of the last five games in all competitions while allowing only one goal during that stretch - 0.2 per game. They are super strong at home as they are undefeated in the last 27 games, at least in the regular time! During that time, they had a 67% win rate and covered the -2 AH spread in ten out of those 27 matches.

Nacional Potosi, like most Bolivian teams, are much better at home. Away from home, they have been terrible, winning just two points in the last six matches while mostly facing weaker teams than Independiente. They really struggled defensively, allowing two goals in five of the previous six road games.

Considering Independiente's good form, fantastic home record, and Nacional Potosi's terrible road performances in recent matches, we believe the hosts should secure a comfortable home win.